EHES ISTANBUL CONFERENCE PROGRAMME
   
Day I : Friday, September 9 Ottoman Bank Museum
   
   
9.15-10.30 Grand Room Opening Session / Chair : Sevket Pamuk (Bogazici, Istanbul)
Patrick O'Brien (LSE) “The Formation of a Mercantilist State and the Economic Growth of the United Kingdom 1453-1815”
   
10.30-10.45 Coffee
   
10.45-12.15  
Session 1 Grand Room Growth in the European Periphery / Chair : Riita Hjerppe (Helsinki)
Prados de la Escosura, Leandro (Carlos III)
Rosés, Joan R. (Carlos III)
The Sources of Growth in Spain, 1850-2000
Grytten, Ola Honningdal (Norwegian Sch Econ)
Lindmark, Magnus (Norwegian Sch Econ)
Market Convergence and Nordic model Divergence?
Lains, Pedro (Lisbon) The Winning Hare? Structural Change and Productivity Performance in Ireland and Portugal, 1979-2003
   
Session 2 Room 5 Standards of Living / Chair : Joerg Baten (Tuebingen)
Nummela, Ilkka (Jyvaskyla)
Penttinen, Antti (Jyvaskyla)
Moltchanova, Elena (IIASA, Austria)
Bayesian Modelling of the Development of Male Heights in 18th Century Finland from Incomplete Data.
Cinnirella, Francesco (Munich) On The Road to Industrialization: Biological Standard of Living in Saxony, 18th and 19th Century.
Coppola, Michela (Munich) The Biological Standard of Living in Pre-Unification Germany
   
Session 3 Room 3 Bond Markets and Currencies / Chair : Michael Bordo (Rutgers, New Jersey)
Esteves, Rui Pedro (Calif. Berkeley) Quis custodiet quem? Sovereign Debt and Bondholders’ Protection Before 1914
Gaillard, Norbert (Sciences Po, Paris) Moody’s Sovereign Ratings Between 1918 and 1931: What Methodology and What Accuracy?
Flandreau, Marc (Sciences Po, Paris)
Jobst, Clemens (Etudes Politiques, Paris)
Clio And The Economics of International Currencies
   
Session 4 Room 2 Schooling-Training / Chair : Jonas Ljungberg (Lund)
Long, Jason (Colby, Maine) The Economic Return to Primary Schooling in Nineteenth-Century England
Mitch, David (Maryland, Baltimore) The Demand for Qualified Engineers in Great Britain, 1921 to 1971
Nilsson, Anders (Lund)
Nilsson, Fay Lundh (Lund)
Skills and Training in the Wake of the Second Industrial Revolution
   
Session 5 Room 1 Trade-I / Chair : Karl Gunnar Persson (Copenhagen)
Daudin, Guillaume (OFCE / Sciences Po, Paris) Domestic Exchanges In Late 18th Century France: A Geography
O’Rourke, Kevin H. (Trinity, Dublin) The Worldwide Economic Impact of the Revolutionary and Napoleonic Wars
Viola, Antonella (EUI, Florence) Mapping Italian Entrepreneurial and Commercial Presence in the 19th Century India
   
12.15-13.30 Lunch
   
   
Day I : 13.30-15.00  
Session 6 Grand Room Later Industrialisation / Chair : Lennart Schön (Lund)
Borodkin, Leonid (Moscow State)
Leonard, Carol Scott (Oxford)
The Rural-Urban Wage Gap in the Industrialization of Russia, 1885-1913

Ljungberg, Jonas (Lund)
Nilsson, Anders (Lund)

Human Capital and Economic Growth: Sweden 1870-2000
Mora-Sitja, Natalia (Oxford) Exploring changes in earnings inequality: Barcelona, 1856-1905.
   
Session 7 Room 5 Growth Outside Europe / Chair : Robert Allen (Oxford)

Tafunell, Xavier (Pompeu Fabra)
Carreras, Albert (Pompeu Fabra)

Capital Goods Imports and Investment in Latin America in the Mid 1920s
Aiolfi, Marco (Bocconi)
Catão, Luis (IMF)
Timmermann, Allan (Calif, San Diego)
Common Factors in Latin America's Business Cycles
Smits, Jan-Pieter (Groningen) Long-Run African Economic Growth, 1910-2000: An Analysis Based on a Broad Capital Concept
   
Session 8 Room 4 During that time in the periphery / Chair : Caglar Keyder (Bogazici, Istanbul)
Reis, Jaime (Lisbon)
Esteves, Rui Pedro (Calif, Berkeley)
Ferramosca, Fabiano (Letras do Porto)
Market Integration in the Golden Periphery: The Lisbon/ London Exchange Market, 1854-1891
Øksendal, Lars Fredrik (Norwegian Sch Econ) Monetary Policy under the Gold Standard - Examining the Norwegian Evidence, 1892-1914
Larsson, Svante (Göteborg) Globalisation, Inequality and Swedish catch up in the late nineteenth century. A critical discussion of Williamson's real wage comparisons.
   
Session 9 Room 3 Currencies and Bond Markets / Chair : Stefano Battilossi (Carlos III)
Foreman-Peck, James (Cardiff) Lessons from Italian Monetary Unification
Bordo, Michael D. (Rutgers, New Jersey)
Meissner, Christopher M. (Cambridge)
Financial Crises, 1880-1913: The Role of Foreign Currency Debt
Landon-Lane, John (Rutgers, New Jersey)
Oosterlinck, Kim (Libre de Bruxelles)
Hope springs eternal... French bondholders and the Soviet Repudiation (1915-1919)
   
Session 10 Room 2 Labour Markets / Chair : Max-Stephan Schulze (LSE)
Saito, Kentaro (Kyoto Sangyo)
Tomobe, Ken’ichi (Keio)
Regional Labour Market Integration in Japan, the 1890s to the 1930s: With special reference to lesser skilled workers
Seltzer, Andrew J. (Royal Holloway, London) The Dynamics of White-Collar Salaries, 1890-1936: Evidence from the Banking Industry
Svensson, Lars (Lund) Endogenous Institutional Change: Labour Market Institutions in Sweden 1920-1990
   
Session 11 Room 1 Agriculture I / Chair : Giovanni Federico (EUI, Florence)
Koepke, Nikola (Tuebingen)
Baten, Joerg (Tuebingen)
Agricultural Specialization and Health in Ancient and Medieval Europe
Goldstone, Jack A. (George Mason) Feeding the People, Starving the State: China’s Agricultural Revolution of the 17th/18th Centuries
Eddie, Scott M. (Toronto) "Knight's Estates and Their Owners in East Elbian Germany before 1914: Embourgeoisement of the Landowning élite?"
   
15.00-15.30 Coffee
   
Day I : 15.30-17.00  
Session 12 Grand Room Technology and Growth / Chair : James Foreman-Peck (Cardiff)
Allen, Robert C. (Oxford) Capital Accumulation, Technical Change and the Distribution of Income during the British Industrial Revolution
Kander, Astrid (Lund)
Schön, Lennart (Lund)
The Energy-Capital Relation-Sweden 1870-2000
Jalava, Jukka (Helsinki)
Pohjola, Matti (Helsinki)
Accounting for 20th Century Finnish Economic Growth: The Roles of Electricity and ICT
   
Session 13 Room 5 Rearmament / Chair : Albrecht Ritschl (Humboldt, Berlin)
Fremdling, Rainer (Groningen)
de Jong, Herman (Groningen)
Timmer, Marcel (Groningen)
Measuring Comparative Productivity in British and German Manufacturing 1935-1936. New Sectoral Benchmarks Based on Single and Double Deflation
Spoerer, Mark (Hohenheim)
Streb, Jochen (Hohenheim)
Butter and Guns? The Economic Impact of the Nazi Armament Policy on the Welfare of the German Consumers
Budraß, Lutz (Bochum)
Scherner, Jonas (Mannheim)
Streb, Jochen (Hohenheim)
Demystifying the German “armament miracle” during World War II. New insights from the annual audits of German aircraft producers.
   
Session 14 Room 4 Financial Institutions / Chair : Larry Neal (Illinois)
Murat Çizakça (Bahçesehir,Istanbul) A Theory of Institutional Borrowing Across Civilisations
Chambers, A.D. (LSE) How Well Did The Stock Market Treat Industry? Evidence From Initial Public Offerings On The London Stock Exchange Over The 2Oth Century?
Uebele, Martin (Humboldt, Berlin)
Ritschl, Albrecht (Humboldt, Berlin)
Stock Markets and the Business Cycle in Germany before World War I: Evidence from Spectral Analysis
   
Session 15 Room 3 External Constraints and Crises / Chair : Jaime Reis (Lisbon)
Wandschneider, Kirsten (Middlebury) The Stability of the Inter-war Gold Exchange Standard -- Did Politics Matter?
Morys, Matthias (LSE) How costly did the external constraint come under the Classical Gold Standard: A Comparison of Austria-Hungary and Italy, 1883-1913
Cassiers, Isabelle (Catholique de Louvain)
Ledent, Philippe (Catholique de Louvain)
Learning to Manage the External Constraint : Belgian monetary policy during the Bretton Woods era (1944-1971)
   
Session 16 Room 2 Agriculture II / Chair Peter Solar (Vesalius)
Federico, Giovanni (EUI, Florence) Why are we all Alive? The Growth of Agricultural Productivity and its Causes, 1800-2000
Petmezas, Socrates D. (Crete) The Long Term Development of Greek Agricultural Productivity in a Euro-Mediterranean Perspective (1860-1980)
Tunali, Insan (Koç, Istanbul)
Bedi, Arjun (Inst. Social Studies, Netherlands)
Testing for Market Imperfections: Participation In Land and Labor Contracts in Turkish Agriculture
   
Session 17 Room 1 Protectionism in Late 19th Century / Chair : Jeffrey Williamson (Harvard)
Bohlin, Jan (Göteborg) The Income Distributional Consequences of Agrarian Tariffs in Sweden on the Eve of World War I
Tena, Antonio (Carlos III) The Good Reputation of Late XIX Century Protectionism: Manufacture versus Total Protection in the European Tariff Growth Debate
Lehmann, Sibylle (Trinity, Dublin) The Political Economy of Protectionism in the Late 19th century: Voting for Protection in Germany
   
Day I: 17.10-18.20 Dissertation Competition / Chair : Leandro Prados de la Escosura (Carlos III)
   
19.00-20.30 Dinner
   
20.45-21.15 After-Dinner Talk back at the Museum
Edhem Eldem (Bogazici, Istanbul) A Bank for All Seasons: The Imperial Ottoman Bank, 1856-1933
   
   
Day 2 : Saturday, Sept. 10  
9.00-10.30  
Session 18 Grand Room Industrial Development / Chair : Patrick O'Brien (LSE)
Reckendrees, Alfred (Cologne) Diverse Paths to Factory Production, 1780s-1840s: the Wollen Cloth Industry in the West Riding of Yorkshire and in the West of the Rhineland (Prussian Rhine-Province)
Lapavitsas, Costas (London) Social and Economic Underpinnings of Industrial Development: Evidence From Ottoman Macedonia
Giannetti, Renato (Florence)
Velucchi, Margherita (Florence)
Second Industrial Revolution in Italy (1860-1913)
   
Session 19 Room 5 Services / Chair : Stephen Broadberry (Warwick)
Sedgwick, John (London Metropolitan)
Pokorny, Michael (Westminster)
The Consumption Characteristics of Film
Bakker, Gerben (Essex) The Emergence of High Sunk Costs Industries: Market Structure, Technological Change and Productivity Growth in Services, 1750-2000
Prat-Sabartés, Marc (Barcelona) The Commercial Structures of Cotton Industry: a Comparative Perspective.
   
Session 20 Room 4 Famous Crises Revisited / Chair : Rainer Fremdling (Groningen)
White, Eugene N. (Rutgers, New Jersey) The Krach of 1882 and the Bourse de Paris
Flores, Juan-Huitzi (Carlos III) Information Structure and Financial Crises: Why Did’t Lombard Street Sound The Alarm ?
Adalet, Müge (Victoria, Wellington) Fundamentals, Capital Flows and Capital Flight: The German Banking Crisis of 1931
   
Session 21 Room 3 Microstructures / Chair : Marc Flandreau (Sciences Po, Paris)
Boerner, Lars (Humboldt, Berlin) Medieval Market Design: Product Grouping on Medieval Fairs
Neal, Larry (Illinois) The London Stock Exchange in the first age of globalization, 1801-1914
Bayer, Christian (EUI, Florence) Burhop, Carsten (Muenster) If only I could sack you! Management turnover and performance in large German Banks between 1874 and 1913
   
Session 22 Room 2 Trade-II / Chair : Socrates Petmezas (Crete)
Rubio, Mar (Pompeu Fabra) On the Accuracy of Latin American Trade Statistics: a Nonparametric Test for 1925
Miró, Marc Badia (Barcelona)
Marín, Anna Carreras (Pompeu Fabra)
Geographical Deviations in Foreign Trade Statistics: a Study into European Trade with Latin American Countries 1925
Yücel, Yelda (Yapi Kredi Bank) Empirical Examination of Turkish Foreign Trade: 1950-2003
   
Session 23 Room 1 Early Modern Institutions / Chair : Jack Goldstone (George Mason)
Kærgård, Niels (Royal Agricultural U, Denmark) Asymmetric Information, Economics of Scale and the Guild System: Ecclesiastical Investments in Denmark 1050-1675
Gelderblom, Oscar (Utrecht)
Grafe, Regina (Oxford)
Towards a Comparative Analysis of Commercial Institutions in Pre-Modern Europe: The organization of foriegn merchant communities in Spain and the Low Countries (1250-1650)
Clark, Gregory (Calif, Davis) The Surprising Dynamism of the Malthusian World: Institutions, Preferences and Modern Growth
   
10.30-11.00 Coffee
   
Day II: 11.00-12.30  
Session 24 Grand Room Postwar European Growth / Chair : Pedro Lains (Lisbon)
Cubel, Antonio (Valencia)
Sanchis, M Teresa (Valencia)
Investment and growth in Europe, 1950-1973
Enflo, Kerstin (Lund) Convergence or Divergence? An Efficiency Approach to European Regional Growth 1980 – 2002
Labuske, Kirsten (Tuebingen)
Baten, Joerg (Tuebingen)
The Technical Component of Human Capital and its Determinants, in 51 Countries, 1880-1913
   
Session 25 Room 5 Motive Power / Chair : Gregory Clark (Calif, Davis)
Gabay Van Der Beek, Karine (Hebrew U, Jerusalem) Coercion Power, Property Rights and Technology Adoption: Construction Of Watermills In Ponthieu, France During The 11th-12th Centuries
Nuvolari, Alessandro (Eindhoven U of Technology)
Verspagen, Bart (Eindhoven U of Technology)
Unravelling the Duty': Lean's Engine Reporter and Cornish Steam Engineering
Edquist, Harald (Stockholm Sch Econ) Do Hedonic Price Indexes Change History? The Case of Electrification
   
Session 26 Room 4 Insurance: Public and Private / Chair : Joachim Voth (Pompeu Fabra)
Elu Teran, Alexander (Barcelona) The Origin of Public Old Age Insurance in Spain. An Economic Study of the Retiro Obrero (1909-1936)
Khoudour-Castéras, David (Etudes Politiques, Paris) Welfare State and Labor Mobility: The Impact of Bismarck's Social Legislation on German Emigration before World War I
González de Lara, Yadira (Alicante) The Birth of Insurance Contracts
   
Session 27 Room 3 Finance and Development / Chair Albert Carreras (Pompeu Fabra)
Ögren, Anders (New York U) Sweden: A Case of Finance-Led Economic Modernization?
Battilossi, Stefano (Carlos III) The Second Reversal: The Ebb and Flow of Financial Development in Western Europe, 1950-1991
Temin, Peter (MIT)
Voth, Joachim (Pompeu Fabra)
Credit Rationing and Crowding Out during the Industrial Revolution: Evidence from Hoare's Bank, 1702-1862
   
Session 28 Room 2 States / Chair : Ola Grytten (Norwegian Sch Econ)
Eloranta, Jari (Appalachian State, North Carolina) Why Did The League of Nations Fail?
Booth, Anne (SOAS, London) Did It Really Help to be a Japanese Colony?: East Asian Economic Performance in Historical Perspective
   
Session 29 Room 1 Trade-III / Chair : Kevin O'Rourke (Trinity, Dublin)
Ejrnæs, Mette (Copenhagen)
Persson, Karl Gunnar (Copenhagen)
Rich, Søren (Copenhagen)
Feeding the British: Convergence and market efficiency in 19th century grain trade.
Fernandez Garcia, Eva (Complutense, Madrid) Appellations of Origin in Spain and France during the Twentieth Century. Quality and Reputation in Sherry Wine
Serrano, Raúl (Zaragoza)
Pinilla, Vicente (Zaragoza)
The Insertion of Agriculture in International Trade, 1951-2000
   
12.30-13.30 Lunch
   
   
Day II: 13.30-15.00  
Session 30 Grand Room Postwar European Industry / Chair : Leandro Prados de la Escosura (Carlos III)
Josephson, Camilla (Lund) Economic Growth in the Swedish Manufacturing Industry 1952-2001
Howlett, Peter (LSE) British Exports in the 1950s: Some Institutional and Geographic Considerations
Spadavecchia, Anna (Reading) Regional and National Industrial Policies in Italy, 1950s-1991. Where did the Subsidies Flow?
   
Session 31 Room 5 Industrialisation and Incomes / Chair : Vera Zamagni (Bologna)
Redding, Stephen (LSE)
Sturm, Daniel (Munich)
Wolf, Nikolaus (Freie U., Berlin)
Multiple Equilibria in Industrial Location: Evidence From Airports in Inter-War and Re-Unified Germany
Fellman, Susanna (Helsinki)
Hjerppe, Riitta (Helsinki)
Increasing Sales, Competitive Advantages and Monopolisation Attempts – Economic Cooperation at Company Level between Finland and Sweden, 1900–1938
Roine, Jesper (Stockholm Sch Econ)
Waldenström, Daniel (Stockholm Sch Econ)
Top Incomes in Sweden over the Twentieth Century
   
Session 32 Room 4 Money Demand and Prices / Chair : Eugene White (Rutgers, New Jersey)
Velde, François R. (Fed Reserve, Chicago) John Law's System and Public Finance in the 18th c. France
Baltzer, Markus ( Tuebingen)
Kling, Gerhard (Utrecht)
Predictability of future economic growth and the credibility of monetary regimes in Germany, 1870-2003
   
Session 33 Room 3 Interwar Macroeconomics / Chair : Zafer Toprak (Bogazici, Istanbul)
Kauppila, Jari (Min Transp and Comm, Finland) Structure of the Finnish Economy at the Dawn of the Great Depression of the 1930s - An Input-Output Approach
Gürsel, Seyfettin (Galatasaray, Istanbul) Growth Despite Deflation: the Turkish Economy During the Great Depression
Ritschl, Albrecht (Humboldt) The Keynesian Myth of a Managed Recovery: Germany, 1933-1936
   
Session 34 Room 2 Population / Chair : Lars Svensson (Lund)
Ayuda, María-Isabel (Zaragoza)
Collantes, Fernando (Zaragoza)
Pinilla, Vicente (Zaragoza)
From Locational Fundamentals to Increasing Returns: The Spatial Concentration of Population in Spain, 1787-2000
Murphy, Tommy E. (Oxford) Old Habits Die Hard (Sometimes) - What can département heteroheneity tell us about the French fertility decline?
Stanfors, Maria A. (Lund) Explaining Fertility Variation in Twentieth Century Sweden
   
Session 35 Room 1 Labour and Trade / Chair : Blanca Sanchez Alonso (San Pablo CEU)
Ojala, Jari (Jyväskylä)
Pehkonen, Jaakko (Jyväskylä)
Why Stay on Board? Ship Jumping as Quit Behaviour in the 19th Century Nordic Deep Sea Shipping
Paul, Helen (St Andrews) The South Sea Company’s Slaving Activities
Betran, Concha (Valencia)
Pons, Maria A. (Valencia)
Ferri, Javier (Valencia)
Wage Inequality and Globalisation: What Can We Learn from the Past? A General Equilibrium Model Approach
   
15.00-15.30 Coffee
   
Day II: 15.30-16.30 Grand Room EHES General Assembly
   
Day II: 16.30-17.45 Grand Room Closing Session / Chair : Lennart Schön (Lund)
Jeffrey G. Williamson (Harvard) Globalization, De-Industrialization and Underdevelopment in the Third World Before the Modern Era
   
Day II: 18.00-22.30 Boat Tour and Dinner on the Bosphorus
   
Programme Notes:  
   
90-minute sessions will be divided into three 30-minute blocks each of which will be devoted to one paper. Each author will be expected to present her/his paper in 15 minutes. The following 15 minutes will be devoted to questions from the floor and discussion.
 
Overhead projectors and facilities for power point presentations will be available in each room.
   
Programme Committee: Stephen Broadberry, Marc Flandreau and Sevket Pamuk